• Tar_Alcaran@sh.itjust.works
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    1 year ago

    Not really. Everyone said “this is an unrealistic pricepoint, it can’t be done for this amount of money”, and so far, those people are still correct. There is a chance SpaceX might turn a profit in the future, but for since 2020 the majority of its launches have been self-paid (as in, StarLink launches). Starlink isn’t exactly turning record-profits itself, the launch costs for 2022 and 2023 far exceeding total revenue. So SpaceX is getting the majority of it’s income from basically their sister-company, that can’t afford to keep doing it.

    The market itself has shown there’s really only 30-something (semi-)commercial launches per year the past decade, so even at 100% marketshare, SpaceX can’t achieve the economy of scale they want without creating their own demand in the form of Starlink.

    I’m a huge fan of getting this re-usable-rocket thing working and lowering launch costs, both for science and basic economics, but so far, that’s a ways off. And in the mean time, the pricing is very anti-competitive (since they literally can’t afford this).